Today, November 5, 2024, marks Election Day in the United States, with millions heading to the polls to decide control of the White House, Congress, and state and local governments. The presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is particularly contentious, with seven key swing states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – holding the key to victory.
Key Races to Watch:
- Presidential Election: Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in the polls, with 538’s forecast giving both candidates a roughly equal chance to win.
- Senate Elections: Republicans are poised to flip the Senate, thanks to Democrats defending seats in Republican-leaning states.
- House of Representatives: All 435 districts are up for grabs, with control of the House hanging in the balance.
- Gubernatorial Elections: Eleven states will elect new governors.
- Ballot Measures: Several state-level laws on abortion, voting rights, drug policy, and more are up for decision.
The first polls close at 6 p.m. Eastern, with initial results expected shortly thereafter. However, it may take days to count enough votes to project a winner.
Latino Voter Shift:
Polling suggests Democrats’ advantage with Latino voters is shrinking, potentially hurting Harris and congressional Democrats in swing states. Since 2016, Latino voters have gradually shifted toward Republicans, with 54% supporting Harris compared to 40% for Trump in a recent NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll ¹. This trend may continue today.
Live Updates:
Reporters from 538 and ABC News will provide live updates, analysis, and commentary on the results. Stay tuned for further developments.
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